Total confirmed COVID-19 deaths per million people Graph of deaths per million, showing linear growth line.

One would normally expect the total deaths to be growing exponentially (going viral) or to be damping down and approaching a constant (zero new deaths).

But for the last three months, this graph appears almost linear, indicating a constant world-wide per capita death rate.

Linear growth is very rare in nature, so what factors account for the phenomenon in this case?


It's nine months later, and except for a slight bend in November, the graph still looks very linear (and definitely not exponential as one might expect):

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  • I would guess it's data discrepancy
    – Pherdindy
    Jul 22, 2020 at 0:18


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