1

Finding a cure for the common cold has long been an unattainable holy grail of medicine.

The above facts imply that:

  • Finding a vaccination for SARS-Cov-2 (causes COVID-19 disease) is very unlikely.
  • Even if there were a vaccination for it, mutations would render it relatively ineffective.
  • Acquired immunity will similarly be of little help.
  • COVID-19 (or something like it) will eventually become as prevalent as the common cold.

Once this transition period is over, is there any reason to believe that COVID-19 won't have become a common and recurrent disease (similar to the common cold) that will simply be an inevitable danger, especially for the elderly and immune compromised?

  • 1
    it's a danger to the very young and even people in the prime of their life with no co-morbid conditions. The older population is just disproportionately affected. – Graham Chiu Jun 2 at 7:22
  • @GrahamChiu, yes, I've now added ", especially" to make it less specific. – Ray Butterworth Jun 2 at 13:07
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    If it were unlikely to produce a vaccine, why are so many millions of $$ being spent on trying? – Graham Chiu Jun 3 at 1:19
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It's premature to say that there will be no vaccine. The Moderna RNA vaccine entered phase 2 studies a few days ago, and phase 3 is scheduled to start with 30,0000 users in 20 centers in the first week of July, 2020.

Other vaccines are going into trials shortly after this.

Perhaps the main concern is the durability of the immune response so it may mean that one needs to be re-vaccinated after a year of whatever period one's immune response lasts.

The companies are going to start making vaccine for use during the phase 3 trial hoping that the vaccine works and before the results come in which is expected towards October 2020.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3MH-3ICY-N4&t=563s (Interview with Anthony Fauci)

| improve this answer | |
  • Assuming the vaccine works, Does the actual application of the vaccine on people would be then around November? – I likeThatMeow Jun 3 at 15:56
  • Assuming it works – Graham Chiu Jun 3 at 18:59
  • :) very good news then, within 5 months! – I likeThatMeow Jun 3 at 21:36

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