# Confusing COVID article - Why would keeping the doubling time above the incubation period flatten the curve?

I stumbled upon this boiled down news article which makes the statement that if we get the doubling time for coronavirus cases above the incubation period (5.8 days), we will be able to effectively "flatten the curve".

Could someone explain to me the logic behind that statement? Can't wrap my head around it. Even if the doubling time is 6 days, in theory (I realise the curve will naturally flatten as a result of population size and number of people already infected) you're still going to see an exponential increases in cases (i.e. 50000, 100000, 200000, 400000...)

• The claim is the opposite - the doubling time needs to be above the incubation period, not below it. Your example of a 6-day doubling time works. Mar 25, 2020 at 17:41
• My bad, I meant above. I mean 100% understand we want the doubling time to be higher, just very confused by the magic number of 6 claim and how the incubation period relates. Mar 25, 2020 at 17:43
• This would probably get better answers on Cross Validated.SE. Mar 25, 2020 at 18:39